Pronoa runs your firm's highest-stakes decisions through a structured methodology and produces what no analyst, copilot, or model produces on its own: the recommendation, the dissent, and the conditions that would change the call — on one page, in a permanent record your firm owns.
Design partners running live decisions now
Reduced leverage with equity co-invest (COA 2): acquire at $215M with senior debt capped at 45% of enterprise value, the lowest-fragility structure in the set — it survives a 15% EBITDA contraction without covenant breach. Gating risk: LP co-invest commitments inside the 72-hour window; if they fail, COA 5 (reject) becomes the rational default.
| Alternative | Total |
|---|---|
| Conditional IC approval with AI thesis gate | 3.25 |
| Reject the platform premise, redeploy capital | 3.05 |
| Phased entry with committed add-on escrow | 2.95 |
Diligence, sourcing, portfolio monitoring, LP reporting — all faster, all instrumented. The decision itself, the one function that determines whether you make or lose money, still runs on instinct, a spreadsheet, and a conversation nobody wrote down. AI made it trivial to produce a confident memo. Pronoa is the layer above those tools: it doesn't make the memo faster, it makes the decision behind it sound.
Pronoa structures the entire path a decision travels, not just the deep dive. Each stage hands a cleaner problem to the next.
Every opportunity captured in structured form from first contact. Deals stop living in email threads.
CapturedMethodology-driven triage: strategic fit, key assumptions, primary risk — so deep-analysis hours go to the deals that earn them.
TriagedThe 18-step methodology takes a live opportunity to a decision-grade brief. Detailed below.
Stress-TestedAssumption heat maps across the pipeline — and the moment the same fragile assumption underwrites several deals at once.
RankedEvery call — invest and pass — becomes a permanent, structured record: the Institutional Decision Asset.
RememberedSTAGE 03 IS WHERE THE BRIEF IS PRODUCED — THE METHOD BEHIND IT, BELOW.
The methodology orchestrates reference-class forecasting, pre-mortem analysis, assumption stress-testing, and twenty-seven other established frameworks into a single sequence — so the rigor is structural, not optional.
Structured intake. Authority mapping. Reversibility classification. The decision routes to its archetype — an IC call runs different logic than a one-way-door acquisition.
Every assumption is named and confidence-rated. Stakeholder positions mapped. Courses of action developed to decision-grade depth — including the contrarian one.
Which assumption fails, at what confidence, with what second-order consequences. Fragility ranked. Sensitivity quantified. Graceful failure or catastrophic — known before the committee asks.
The test: hand a partner the brief and ask which assumption they trust least. They can answer from the page — because for the first time, it's on the page.
Tiered executive briefs (Board, IC, War Room). A 30-day implementation risk map. And an immutable decision-log entry: the reasoning, exactly as it stood, forever reconstructable.
Because every decision runs through the same structure, every decision is captured in the same form — comparable, queryable, additive. Over time the record shows which assumptions held, where conviction was calibrated, and which instincts to trust. The firm gets smarter, not just older.
AI labs can make your analysts faster. They cannot build your firm's decision intelligence — because they don't have your firm's decisions.
Every deal through the same 18-step analysis. The assumption that actually matters, surfaced before the IC asks. A brief the committee has never seen before.
Conviction you can later tell was calibrated, not lucky. Every call recorded — invest and pass alike — so the anti-portfolio is finally visible.
The stress-test the buyer's board will demand, built before the meeting. Close with clarity, not optimism.
A methodology clients can audit. Every engagement produces a brief at the quality tier of firms ten times your size.
IC-grade rigor without institutional headcount — and a record of the reasoning that outlives the people who made it. Continuity of judgment, not only continuity of capital.
Architected for zero data retention: your content is never used for training, never logged beyond the moment of inference. The model forgets. (ZDR agreement with our model provider in process; architecture in place today.)
Every decision preserved inside your firm's tenant — written once, never edited, never deleted. Tenant-isolated, encrypted, owned by the firm, not a tool vendor.
Published research integrated throughout. Every assumption anchored to external evidence with an explicit confidence level. Every claim traceable to its source.
Multi-factor authentication, per-user access controls, expiring brief links, and a complete audit trail ship at launch. Pronoa does not replace your judgment — it makes your judgment defensible: to your committee, to your board, to the version of yourself reviewing this decision in eighteen months.
Built on a conviction formed over nearly three decades as a U.S. Navy SEAL officer: the highest-consequence decisions deserve structure — because the cost of an unstructured process compounds in ways that never appear on a balance sheet until it's too late.
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